Moldova's economic agenda for the coming days is packed with decisions that could reshape taxation, investment and trade, while fresh data point to mixed external demand and ongoing pressure on inflation and growth. The full briefing also tracks major financing for infrastructure and agriculture, new business projects, and several policy moves that may affect companies and households alike.
The IMF has updated its economic projections for Moldova for the coming years, maintaining one of its key forecasts while revising downward its outlook for the longer term. The Fund has also adjusted its inflation expectations and external imbalance parameters, indicating continued pressure on the country's economy.
The World Bank has updated its assessment of Moldova's economic outlook for the coming years, maintaining one of its key forecasts and slightly improving another. The new report also highlights the factors that continue to hold back growth and the conditions that will determine the economy's trajectory in the medium term.
Moldova's external debt increased significantly in the first half of the year, with growth occurring in both the public and private sectors. In its published balance of payments report, the National Bank also disclosed the structure of liabilities, the debt-to-GDP ratio, and key creditors, which allows for an assessment of the sources contributing to the burden on the economy.
The EBRD maintained its GDP growth forecast for Moldova at 2.8% for 2026 and 3.5% for 2027
Sergiu Padure, Chief Economist at Moldindconbank
Moldova's economy continued to grow in the first half of the year, and the latest data from statistics agencies and the National Bank indicate that this positive trend continued into the second quarter. At the same time, when making its decision on the interest rate, the regulator specifically noted changes in key sectors, foreign trade, and consumer activity, which together paint a picture of recovery.
In 2025, the amount of grants received by Moldova increased significantly, with the bulk of the funds directed toward supporting the state budget. The report on foreign aid also notes a high rate of disbursement of these resources and the growing role of international financing in the context of reforms and European integration.
Moldova's GDP growth in 2026 is expected to be 1.8%, rather than the 2.4% projected when the draft law on the 2026 state budget was being prepared.
Moldova's national debt, according to forecasts, as of December 31 will not exceed 162 billion 886.3 million lei and will increase by 6 billion 853.3 million lei compared to the amount approved for 2026, mainly due to an increase in external public debt
Loading…
