The Ministry of Economic Development and Digitalization forecasts Moldova’s GDP growth at 2.2% in 2026, followed by a gradual acceleration in the medium term to 4.2% in 2029
Minister of Economic Development and Digitalization Eugen Osmochescu stated this, noting that this trajectory will be supported by the implementation of structural reforms and investment projects outlined in the EU-backed Growth Plan. The forecast for 2026 is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty, primarily in the context of the conflict in the Middle East, which has led to rising prices for oil and natural gas. These events are intensifying inflationary pressures at the global and regional levels, affecting production costs and the macroeconomic balance. At the same time, the forecast scenario is supported by a number of favorable factors that will contribute to economic activity in the coming period. The implementation of investment projects envisaged in the Growth Plan (projects to modernize the energy sector, restore and expand road infrastructure, modernize railway infrastructure, and invest in water supply and sewerage systems, etc.), measures to stimulate private investment, including through state support mechanisms in strategic sectors of the manufacturing industry and financing programs implemented through ODA, will support domestic demand. At the same time, structural reforms and measures to support the business environment will help mitigate the impact of external shocks and strengthen economic resilience. Alongside these favorable factors, certain vulnerabilities remain, related in particular to developments in the region and the Middle East, as well as to their potential impact on the national economy. In this context, the Ministry of Economic Development and Digitalization will continue to monitor domestic and external economic trends and adjust the forecasting framework as necessary to ensure a rigorous basis for economic policy. // 02.04.2026 – InfoMarket.
