The Ministry of Economic Development and Digitalization has updated the main macroeconomic indicators for 2025-2027
In the updated macroeconomic forecast of the ministry for the next 3 years, the assessment of the dynamics of Moldova’s GDP remained at the same level: in 2025, the GDP volume will amount to 358.7 billion lei and will grow to 429.1 billion lei by 2027, and annual growth in these 3 years will be 3%, 3.3% and 3.7%, respectively. The average annual inflation rate and inflation indicators at the end of the year will be 4.6% in 2025, and in the next 2 years - 5%. In the next 3 years, positive dynamics of foreign trade are expected: exports will grow by 8.3% in 2025, by 7% in 2026, by 6.5% in 2027, and import growth in the corresponding years will be 6.5%, 5.5% and 5.4%. The trade deficit will continue to grow, it will increase from the projected $5 billion lei to $5.7 billion. Growth in the industrial sector is expected to recover - annual growth will range from 3.5% to 4%. In the agricultural sector, growth will range from 1.5% to 2% over the next 3 years. The volume of investments in long-term tangible assets will also increase slightly - by 2.7% -3.3% per year. The average annual exchange rate of the Moldovan leu will strengthen slightly against the US dollar, the rate is expected to be 18.26 lei per dollar in 2025, 18.47 in 2026, 18.67 in 2027. Leu exchange rate at the end of 2025 will amount to 18.38 lei per dollar, and at the end of 2027 it may rise to 18.84 lei per dollar, although it was previously predicted that by the end of the forecast period it will exceed 19 lei per dollar. The nominal average monthly salary will increase from 15.4 thousand lei in 2025 to 18.5 thousand lei in 2027. Its annual growth in nominal terms will be 9.5-10.8%, but in real terms the increase will be from 4.2% to 5.9%. The wage fund will increase from 110.6 billion lei in 2025 to 137.5 billion lei in 2027. // 14.08.2024 – InfoMarket.
