Moldova's latest economic update points to a mix of stronger external trade, rising banking-sector activity and a new round of fiscal and customs changes that could reshape costs for businesses and consumers. The full briefing also highlights major infrastructure and energy plans, as well as fresh data on public debt, reserves and upcoming statistical releases that may set the tone for markets this week.
Moldova's domestic public debt rose by 432.52 million lei (+0.7%) in August, reaching a new record high of 58 billion 202.47 million lei at the end of August
Moldova is counting on IMF assistance to implement reforms, reduce the budget deficit, and manage state assets and public debt more effectively
In Moldova, public debt service costs will rise significantly in 2026: this revision is related to both domestic and external borrowing. This trend was influenced by changes in interest rates and market conditions, as well as currency revaluation.
Moldova's national debt, according to forecasts, as of December 31 will not exceed 162 billion 886.3 million lei and will increase by 6 billion 853.3 million lei compared to the amount approved for 2026, mainly due to an increase in external public debt
"The government must increase its capacity to attract foreign grants in order to boost budget revenues," said Ionice
At the end of July, Moldova saw a deterioration in two key debt risk indicators: some of the parameters that the Ministry of Finance uses to monitor refinancing and the interest burden exceeded the limits set by the medium-term program. However, for the remaining indicators, the situation remained within the established limits; the full version of this report includes details showing just how close the national debt has come to critical thresholds.
Moldova's external public debt stood at $4,855.9 million as of the end of July, having increased by $19.2 million (+0.4%) over the month and by $45.3 million (+0.94%) since the beginning of the year
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